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Vol. 20, Art. 12 (pp. 134-146)    |    2019       

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The manifestation diseases predicting causing the medical contraindications for work with hazardous industrial factors, in system of occupational incapacity preventing for the nuclear shipbuilding and ship repair facility personnel

1Sosukin A.E., 1Pimburskiy V.Ph., 2Verveda A.B.

Federal State Unitary Enterprise Research Institute of
Industrial and Marine Medicine of the Federal Medical and Biological Agency
Federal State Budgetary Institution of Science
Institute of Toxicology of the Federal Medical and Biological Agency

Brief summary

The aim of the study was to develop a methodological approach for the risk groups formation at the manifestation of diseases causing medical contraindications is proposed for the personnel of nuclear shipbuilding & ship repair facility in order to increase the effectiveness of the prevention of their professional unsuitability. Information on medical and social indicators of 28144 employees of nuclear shipbuilding & ship repair facility was used as initial variables. Binary logistic regression and decision trees were used to find informative variables and predict the risk of medical contraindications. Using the developed classification rules, high prediction specificity values of 99.75% were obtained. The increase of classification rule?s sensitivity index (68.82%) is possible through the inclusion of additional clinical and laboratory parameters in the developed model. The developed forecast models and decision-making procedures for conducting preventive, diagnostic and treating measures among employees of enterprises serviced by Federal Medical Biological Agency of Russia can solve the problems health keeping and personnel professional longevity prolonging at the previous stage of such diseases.


Key words

predicting, medical contraindications, hazardous industrial factors, occupational incapacity, nuclear shipbuilding and ship repair facility.

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